Kalshi captures 65% of June prediction-market volume, Macquarie estimates
The estimated concentration and sports share indicate the scale of activity in prediction markets for betting operators and investors.
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Reports
New Jersey lawmakers plan to revisit 9% prediction market surtax
The proposal could change prediction-market operators’ tax exposure in New Jersey if lawmakers pass it.
Ontario permits credit card deposits for regulated online gambling
Payment-method rules affect operators’ deposit options and regulators’ oversight of gambling safeguards.
New Jersey committee advances 9% tax on prediction-market revenue
The proposed tax would set a state-level charge on prediction-market operators’ revenue.
EU financial regulator says some prediction market contracts face binary options rules
Prediction market operators face compliance obligations under existing EU binary options restrictions, affecting product design and market access.
South Korea's KCSC gives Polymarket chance to answer illegal gambling allegations
The case tests how South Korean communications rules apply to prediction-market platforms, a model now facing scrutiny across multiple jurisdictions.
Prospect Markets agrees proposed US prediction-markets launch with OG Broker
The proposed entry depends on definitive agreements and any required regulatory approvals before launch.
GRAI signs cooperation memorandum with Danish Gambling Authority
The agreement may strengthen cross-border regulatory coordination for operators active in both jurisdictions.
Source: GRAI (Ireland)
ESMA clarifies rules for prediction markets and event contracts
Operators may face financial, gambling or crypto regulation depending on the features and underlying assets of their contracts.
ESMA says some prediction contracts may face retail binary-options restrictions
Platforms offering event contracts may need to assess whether financial-instrument restrictions apply to their products.
US lawyers say CFTC may hold an edge in prediction-market dispute
The outcome could shape whether states or the CFTC regulate sports-related prediction contracts.
Spotify asks Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its logo after streaming dispute
The request challenges how prediction markets use Spotify branding and rely on external data to settle outcomes.
Russian lawmakers cite gambling addiction estimates covering 12% of adults
The estimates and differing treatment figures may inform debate over gambling controls and support services in Russia.
African regulators advance Africa Safer Gambling Week at London session
The initiative signals coordinated African regulatory action on taxation, player protection and illegal operators, affecting compliance planning for operators and suppliers targeting those markets.
ADI Predictstreet secures approval to expand prediction markets beyond football
The expansion gives partners and traders access to prediction markets across more event categories, subject to the company’s rollout plans.
Licence
Gibraltar authorities approve ADI Predictstreet framework for wider prediction markets
The approval enables a planned expansion, while the GGL investigation raises a separate question about the platform’s German activity.
Melanie Ellis calls for safeguards as prediction markets test regulatory boundaries
Clearer rules could help operators understand which consumer safeguards apply to prediction markets.
Šimon Vincze urges user education and safeguards for prediction markets
Operators and regulators face calls to make prediction-market risks clearer to users.
Prediction Markets coalition alleges coordination between Maryland and casino lobby
Prediction-market operators face ongoing disputes over event contracts, including state opposition and a temporary Michigan bar.
New Jersey committees advance 9% prediction market surtax bills
Prediction market platforms may face an additional state tax if the bills pass.
New Jersey seeks more time for Supreme Court challenge in Kalshi case
The challenge could affect whether states can apply sports betting laws to prediction-market contracts.
New Jersey considers Supreme Court petition over prediction markets
The petition and proposed tax could affect prediction-market access and costs in New Jersey.
GGL investigates ADI Predictstreet over German World Cup betting access
The probe concerns whether an unlicensed prediction platform reached German users and breached advertising rules.
SWG survey finds nearly half of Italians interested in regulated prediction markets
The findings offer operators and policymakers evidence on Italian gambling habits and potential interest in prediction markets if regulated.
Maryland agency faces questions over AGA letter on prediction markets
The dispute concerns how a state regulator formed its position on sports event contracts offered by prediction-market companies.