14 SepRegulation
ESMA flags retail trader risks in prediction markets
ESMA’s call for continued monitoring signals regulatory scrutiny for prediction market platforms serving retail traders.
ESMA
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Companies
Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Robinhood, Pariflow, DraftKings
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Timeline
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September 2026
12 SepRegulation
ESMA warns of insider trading and manipulation risks in prediction markets
Polymarket and Kalshi’s European expansion accompanies ESMA calls for monitoring insider trading, manipulation and potential retail harm.
11 SepRegulation
ESMA examines prediction markets in September financial risk monitor
ESMA warns European operators face a different regulatory environment from the United States for prediction markets.
10 SepRegulation
ESMA examines prediction markets in risk report
ESMA’s report highlights blurred boundaries between financial instruments, prediction markets and gambling, explicitly naming Polymarket and Kalshi.
July 2026
7 JulRegulation
ESMA confirms some prediction contracts fall under existing binary options restrictions
Some prediction market contracts fall within existing financial restrictions.
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