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US lawmakers consider state rules and federal limits for prediction markets

Regulation

Lawmakers in Iowa, New York, Hawaii and Illinois are considering measures on prediction markets, while Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont has proposed barring use by people under 21. US Representative Dina Titus introduced a federal bill to amend the Commodity Exchange Act; Kalshi argues that sports event trades fall under federal regulation, while the CFTC’s chair said the agency may challenge states and develop event-contract rules.

The proposals could alter how prediction markets interact with state gambling laws and federal oversight.

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Regulation

Blumenthal proposes federal safeguards and state authority for prediction markets

US Senator Richard Blumenthal introduced the Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026 on 11 March, with Senator Andy Kim as co-sponsor. The proposed bill would impose consumer protections, prohibit certain contracts and return regulatory authority to states; it would also restrict use of non-public information and require affordability checks for wagers above specified thresholds.

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