16 OctRegulation
Amici urge Supreme Court to review New Jersey’s dispute with Kalshi
The dispute concerns whether states can apply gambling rules to sports-event contracts offered by federally regulated exchanges.
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- Kalshi 2026-08-04
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Timeline
Newest first, grouped by month.
October 2026
15 OctRegulation
Kalshi CEO warns US court rulings could push prediction markets offshore
The outcome could determine whether prediction market operators can continue serving the US market under federal or state rules.
15 OctRegulation
Kalshi files anti-harassment rule allowing penalties for abusive traders
Kalshi’s proposed rule would allow financial penalties, suspension or account deactivation for users harassing athletes or third parties over trading.
14 OctRegulation
CFTC proposes swap classification for sports and political event contracts
The CFTC proposal would classify sports, political, cultural and weather event contracts as swaps and explicitly include them in rules.
14 OctLicences & markets
Blockchain.com seeks CFTC licences for US derivatives and prediction markets
CFTC approval would allow Blockchain.com to offer futures, options and prediction market contracts to retail and institutional customers.
13 OctLicences & markets
Blockchain.com applies for US licences to offer prediction markets
The applications could enable Blockchain.com to seek approval to bring prediction markets and regulated trading to US users.
13 OctRegulation
Illinois federal judge limits state gambling enforcement against Kalshi
Kalshi retains preliminary protection from Illinois gambling enforcement, while wager-related fees remain subject to further briefing.
13 OctRegulation
Ohio seeks Supreme Court review of US sports prediction market jurisdiction
Ohio’s request puts disputed state and federal authority over sports prediction market operators before the Supreme Court.
12 OctRegulation
Kalshi, Polymarket and allies spend at least $3m amid US regulatory dispute
The lobbying seeks to influence the regulatory treatment of prediction market products in the USA.
12 OctRegulation
CFTC issues rule excluding qualifying gambling products from US swap classification
The exclusion clarifies which gambling products fall outside CFTC oversight for state-licensed and tribal operators.
12 OctRegulation
CFTC distinguishes sportsbook wagers from exchange-traded sports contracts
The measures could affect how operators and prediction-market exchanges are regulated at federal and state level.
12 OctRegulation
Kalshi cases await Supreme Court review decision over sports event contracts
Operators could face separate state disputes over sports event contracts if Supreme Court review leaves conflicting appeals decisions unresolved.
12 OctRegulation
CFTC excludes qualifying sportsbook and casino bets from US swap rules
The exclusion clarifies which licensed gambling products fall outside CFTC oversight while preserving separate treatment for exchange-traded prediction contracts.
9 OctRegulation
CFTC releases interim rule to distinguish sports event contracts from traditional sports betting
The rule concerns the regulatory distinction between sports event contracts and traditional sports betting.
9 OctRegulation
NFL urges Supreme Court review of sports event contracts
The case and lawsuit could affect how sports event contracts operate and how Florida’s gaming compact applies to DraftKings’ platform.
9 OctRegulation
NFL asks Supreme Court to settle US sports prediction market jurisdiction
The dispute could determine whether sports prediction market operators must comply with state gambling laws or federal oversight.
9 OctRegulation
NFL seeks Supreme Court review of US sports prediction market oversight
The dispute concerns whether sports prediction platforms must comply with state gambling laws alongside federal financial supervision.
8 OctRegulation
State attorneys general seek Supreme Court review of prediction market oversight
The case could determine whether states can apply gambling laws to prediction market operators such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
6 OctRegulation
CFTC and states dispute authority over prediction markets
Oversight of prediction markets remains contested between the CFTC and state gaming regulators as sports event contracts expand.
6 OctPeople moves
Dechert hires Carl Kennedy to strengthen prediction markets advisory practice
The appointment expands Dechert’s capacity to advise clients on prediction markets and CFTC regulation.
5 OctRegulation
Federal judge awards Kalshi and CFTC interim relief against Illinois
The injunctions give Kalshi and the CFTC interim judicial relief against Illinois.
4 OctRegulation
Stock-linked prediction markets draw US scrutiny over regulatory jurisdiction
Polymarket and Kalshi face unresolved oversight questions as experts warn stock-linked contracts could affect share trading and complicate enforcement.
2 OctRegulation
CFTC seeks White House approval for two gambling and prediction market rules
Prediction market operators face proposed rules intended to secure CFTC authority over their sector.
September 2026
24 SepDeals & M&A
MGM takeover bid collapses as Caesars’ $17.6bn deal progresses
Investors face contrasting casino transaction outcomes as an MGM takeover collapsed while the Caesars deal progressed.
23 SepRegulation
CFTC warns prediction market exchanges about manipulation risks in mention markets
Prediction market exchanges face a CFTC warning about manipulation risks involving public figures’ statements or actions.
15 SepRegulation
Indian Gaming Association opposes revised Clarity Act ahead of US Senate vote
The Indian Gaming Association seeks explicit safeguards against federal commodities law overriding state and tribal gaming laws.
15 SepRegulation
Tribal coalition seeks prediction market curbs in US Senate crypto bill
The lobbying effort seeks restrictions on prediction markets within legislation that would expand the CFTC’s regulatory authority.
14 SepRegulation
CFTC seeks to block Connecticut prediction market enforcement
For prediction market operators, federal intervention challenges Connecticut’s enforcement measures, while Robinhood seeks to join the proceedings.
14 SepRegulation
CFTC weighs gaming definition for US event contracts
Operators face unresolved gaming definitions as the CFTC deliberates and Nevada and New Jersey assert authority over sports-outcome contracts.
11 SepRegulation
US appeals court rejects Kalshi bid to pause Utah gambling enforcement
The ruling leaves Kalshi exposed to Utah gambling enforcement while its appeal continues.
10 SepDeals & M&A
Robinhood signs multi-year prediction markets infrastructure agreement with OG.com
The partnership assigns OG.com infrastructure and clearing responsibilities for Robinhood’s retail event contracts through its CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse.
9 SepRegulation
Illinois lawmaker proposes removing prediction market tax
The bill seeks to remove Illinois’s prediction market tax, whose application Kalshi and the CFTC challenged in court.
4 SepRegulation
Illinois lawmaker proposes repealing sports prediction market tax
The Illinois repeal proposal would remove the sports prediction market transaction tax challenged by Kalshi and the CFTC.
4 SepRegulation
New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to clarify prediction market jurisdiction
The case could determine whether operators offering sports event contracts must comply with state gambling licensing and tax requirements.
3 SepRegulation
New Jersey asks Supreme Court to review sports prediction contracts’ exemption from state laws
The petition challenges a ruling that prevents New Jersey gaming authorities from blocking Kalshi’s sports contracts.
3 SepRegulation
New York challenges CFTC emergency order in Kalshi court dispute
New York’s attorney general’s office challenges the CFTC’s emergency order as promoting Kalshi’s interests in nationwide litigation.
2 SepRegulation
New Jersey asks US Supreme Court to resolve sports prediction jurisdiction dispute
New Jersey seeks clarity on whether federal event contract oversight blocks state gambling enforcement.
August 2026
31 AugEnforcement & compliance
CFTC fines Gabriel Perez $65,000 over Kalshi speech wagers
The CFTC sanction combines a fine, profit surrender and a three-year trading ban for betting on presidential speech content.
31 AugEnforcement & compliance
CFTC sanctions Gabriel Perez over US prediction market trades
The settlement requires Perez to surrender trading gains and bars him from trading for three years over alleged misuse of confidential government information.
28 AugRegulation
Gaming attorneys criticise CFTC over alleged defiance of court orders
The criticism puts the CFTC’s response to court orders under scrutiny from gaming attorneys.
27 AugRegulation
CFTC orders Kalshi to maintain New York trading despite court order
The CFTC’s instruction leaves Kalshi facing conflicting agency and court directions over continued trading in New York.
26 AugRegulation
Tribes oppose proposed federal swap treatment for US sports contracts
Tribes argue federal oversight of sports contracts would divert tribal gaming revenue and conflict with the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act.
26 AugRegulation
PredictIt executive forecasts possible Supreme Court review of prediction market regulation
Potentially conflicting appeals rulings could bring the CFTC-state dispute over event contract oversight before the Supreme Court, according to Pidot.
24 AugRegulation
CFTC committee examines prediction market manipulation risks
The committee examined manipulation risks, while disputed examples highlight disagreement over which products breached standards.
24 AugDeals & M&A
Gemini and Apex sign letter of intent for US prediction-market distribution
The proposed arrangement gives Gemini Titan exclusivity for regulated crypto event contracts distributed through Apex’s futures commission merchant.
21 AugRegulation
CFTC holds hearing to inform prediction market roadmap
The CFTC committee hearing contributes to developing the agency’s prediction market roadmap amid tense exchanges.
21 AugRegulation
CFTC chair proposes new prediction market rules at advisory committee meeting
Selig proposed prediction market rules while defending federal oversight against challenges concerning legality and self-certification limits.
21 AugRegulation
CFTC advisory committee holds first meeting with prediction markets on agenda
Sportsbook and prediction market executives have representation on the CFTC committee discussing prediction markets.
21 AugRegulation
Kalshi seeks relief from state enforcement as CFTC considers prediction market rules
Operators seeking relief from state enforcement face federal appeals proceedings as the CFTC moves towards new sector rules.
21 AugRegulation
CFTC challenges nine states over prediction market oversight
Operators face competing federal and state jurisdiction claims, alongside New York’s allegations against Kalshi over gambling and tax avoidance.
21 AugRegulation
CFTC outlines prediction market roadmap amid scrutiny of contract self-certification
The regulatory roadmap puts manipulation risks, consumer safeguards and event contract self-certification under industry scrutiny.
21 AugRegulation
Trump backs US prediction markets as states challenge sports contracts
State regulators argue sports contracts require gambling licences, challenging platforms operating under CFTC oversight with substantial sports trading activity.
20 AugRegulation
Lawyer says Democratic midterm win would not strengthen states against prediction markets
Federal backing for permitted operators and insufficient congressional support underpin a lawyer’s assessment that states would gain no midterm advantage.
19 AugRegulation
Amanda Fischer challenges CFTC handling of US prediction markets
The dispute concerns whether state and tribal gambling laws apply to prediction markets offering sports event contracts.
19 AugRegulation
Trump plans White House meeting with prediction market executives
The planned White House meeting connects prediction market executives with President Trump and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission chairman.
18 AugRegulation
Judge denies Kalshi emergency relief in Connecticut dispute
Connecticut can enforce its gambling laws against Kalshi following the rejection of emergency relief pending appeal.
17 AugRegulation
CFTC faces court pressure as prediction market disputes continue
Court pressure on the CFTC and approaching geofencing deadlines give gambling industry investors regulatory developments to monitor.
17 AugRegulation
Connecticut judge rejects Kalshi’s emergency injunction request
Kalshi remains without its requested emergency injunction during appeal after the judge rejected reliance on the CFTC order.
14 AugRegulation
CFTC orders Kalshi to continue New York event contracts
The federal order creates competing directions for Kalshi’s New York operations.
14 AugRegulation
Novig files trading safeguards including minimum age of 21
The filed rules would add a uniform minimum age and further trading protections at Ludlow Exchange.
13 AugRegulation
Novig adopts responsible-trading framework for prediction exchange
The framework brings responsible-trading requirements into Novig’s exchange operations.
13 AugRegulation
Kalshi cites CFTC emergency declaration in appellate injunction request
Kalshi is seeking appellate protection based on the regulator’s emergency action.
13 AugRegulation
Kalshi and Polymarket flag suspected insider traders
Platforms reported more suspected insider traders than the number of people facing reported CFTC action.
13 AugRegulation
CFTC orders Kalshi to maintain New York operations
The federal directive seeks to maintain Kalshi’s operations despite the state’s lawsuit.
12 AugRegulation
Lawmakers ask CFTC to prevent wildfire prediction contracts
The request concerns a contract category the report says is absent from current markets.
12 AugRegulation
CFTC directs Kalshi to keep operating after emergency notification
The order directs continued operation while the New York dispute persists.
11 AugRegulation
CFTC orders Kalshi to continue New York trading
The order creates opposing federal and state instructions for Kalshi’s New York operations.
11 AugRegulation
DraftKings self-certifies football markets and combination contracts
The filings extend DraftKings’ proposed prediction-trading products to football markets and multi-leg combinations.
6 AugLicences & markets
Novig launches regulated sports prediction market in 47 states
The launch adds a federally regulated sports event-contract exchange to the US market.
6 AugRegulation
CFTC chair warns against state-level prediction-market rules
Selig’s statement opposes state-level rules for prediction-market operators.
6 AugLicences & markets
Novig launches nationwide sports prediction platform with minimum age of 21
The launch introduces a federally overseen sports prediction platform restricted to adults aged 21 and above.
6 AugLicences & markets
Novig launches nationwide US sports prediction platform
The designation enables Novig’s nationwide event-contract offering.
5 AugLicences & markets
Novig relaunches US sports prediction-market exchange
The rollout expands access to Novig’s regulated sports prediction contracts.
5 AugRegulation
Democratic senators urge CFTC to reject wildfire contracts
The senators seek to prevent wildfire-linked contracts from entering prediction markets.
4 AugLicences & markets
Novig launches sports prediction exchange across 47 states
The launch expands access to Novig’s federally regulated sports event contracts.
4 AugRegulation
Kalshi seeks federal order against Iowa sports-contract enforcement
The request seeks to prevent Iowa gambling-law enforcement against Kalshi’s sports contracts.
4 AugEnforcement & compliance
CFTC sanctions George Santos over Kalshi market manipulation
The action addresses manipulation of a contract linked to Santos’s own conduct.
4 AugEnforcement & compliance
George Santos agrees $35,000 CFTC settlement over Kalshi trade
The settlement resolves an investigation into an alleged event-contract trade involving Santos’ own attendance.
3 AugEnforcement & compliance
CFTC fines George Santos and bars trading for three years
The order restricts Santos’s trading following the regulator’s market-manipulation finding.
3 AugEnforcement & compliance
CFTC fines George Santos roughly $35,000 for prediction market manipulation
The penalty addresses misleading public statements linked to event contract trading.
3 AugEnforcement & compliance
George Santos settles CFTC manipulation case for $35,000
The agreement resolves the regulator’s market manipulation investigation.
1 AugRegulation
State attorneys general challenge CFTC sports contract authority
The filing contests federal control over the sports prediction contracts at issue.
July 2026
31 JulEnforcement & compliance
New York seeks $36bn from Kalshi in court action
The court action seeks substantial damages while leagues press for trading age standards.
31 JulEnforcement & compliance
George Santos agrees penalty to settle CFTC Kalshi allegations
The settlement imposes a financial consequence without an admission of wrongdoing.
31 JulRegulation
State attorneys general challenge CFTC authority over sports contracts
The coalition contests the federal legal basis for regulating sports prediction contracts.
31 JulLicences & markets
Binance.US plans CFTC application for prediction markets
The planned application would seek regulatory permission for Binance.US prediction markets.
30 JulRegulation
State attorneys general and casinos contest CFTC sports authority
The objections challenge the CFTC’s proposed oversight of sports contracts.
30 JulLicences & markets
Rush Street Interactive describes exchange filing as contingency plan
The application keeps a potential prediction market option available without committing to a launch.
30 JulLicences & markets
RSI files CFTC exchange application without imminent sports-contract launch plans
The application preserves an exchange option without committing RSI to an immediate sports-contract launch.
30 JulRegulation
Wisconsin judge rejects CFTC request to halt prediction market enforcement
The decision leaves Wisconsin able to pursue its gambling enforcement.
30 JulRegulation
Wisconsin judge denies CFTC injunction over sports prediction markets
The refusal leaves Wisconsin’s enforcement efforts unhalted by the requested injunction.
29 JulRegulation
Judge refuses CFTC injunction against Wisconsin enforcement
Wisconsin’s enforcement efforts continue without the preliminary restriction sought by the CFTC.
29 JulRegulation
Minnesota injunction blocks implementation of prediction-market ban
Minnesota cannot implement its prediction-market ban while the preliminary injunction applies.
29 JulRegulation
NFL asks CFTC for stricter sports prediction market rules
The request seeks tighter limits on contracts linked to sporting events.
29 JulRegulation
NBA challenges CFTC prediction-market rulemaking
The letter adds basketball’s objections to the federal prediction-market rulemaking process.
29 JulRegulation
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen sports prediction-market safeguards
The league is seeking additional integrity protections in the CFTC’s proposed framework.
29 JulRegulation
CFTC prediction-market proposal draws conflicting stakeholder responses
The responses present competing demands for the proposed federal prediction-market framework.
29 JulRegulation
State attorneys general oppose CFTC sports prediction market proposal
The letter contests the CFTC’s proposed authority over sports prediction markets.
28 JulRegulation
Judge pauses Minnesota prediction market ban
The injunction temporarily prevents enforcement of Minnesota’s prediction market prohibition.
28 JulRegulation
Federal judge blocks Minnesota prediction-market ban
The ruling prevents the proposed state restriction from proceeding against prediction-market operators.
28 JulRegulation
NFL seeks tighter CFTC rules for sports contracts
The NFL’s requests would impose additional limits and safeguards on sports prediction contracts.
28 JulRegulation
NFL seeks stronger event-contract rules from CFTC
The NFL’s request seeks additional integrity protections for prediction-market contracts.
28 JulRegulation
CFTC cautions against broad event contract self-certification
The advisory cautions operators against broad use of event-contract self-certification.
27 JulRegulation
CFTC issues prediction-market self-certification advisory
The advisory directs attention to compliance with contract self-certification requirements.
27 JulLicences & markets
tastytrade launches event contracts using Apex infrastructure
Apex’s infrastructure supports tastytrade’s new prediction contract offering.
24 JulLicences & markets
Novig files sports event contract plans with CFTC
The filings seek approval for a wider sports prediction market offering.
24 JulRegulation
Crypto.com’s OG sues Washington over gambling enforcement threat
The lawsuit challenges Washington’s proposed application of gambling enforcement to OG.
17 JulEnforcement & compliance
Trump places teleprompter operator on leave over alleged Kalshi betting
The allegations concern potential access to advance information in speech-based prediction contracts.
17 JulRegulation
CFTC directs Kalshi to maintain Michigan sports contracts
Conflicting state and federal directions leave Kalshi facing competing obligations in Michigan.
17 JulEnforcement & compliance
CFTC investigates teleprompter operator’s alleged Kalshi trading
The investigation examines alleged misuse of non-public information in speech-related event contracts.
16 JulEnforcement & compliance
CFTC investigates presidential aide’s Kalshi speech trading
The investigation concerns a presidential aide’s trading on speech-related contracts.
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