An opinion column on a Brazilian betting industry site argued that Caixa’s lotteries and regulated betting grew at the same time rather than cannibalising one another. It cited R$18.7bn in lottery revenue through September 2026, up 3.9%, and regulated betting GGR of R$20.07bn in the first half, up 15.3%.
The figures challenge the stated policy rationale for restricting regulated betting alongside federal lotteries in Brazil.
The day’s most important stories, free. One email a day.
Reportedly, Brazil's Receita Federal collected R$11.116bn from betting and gambling taxation, including Caixa lotteries, between January and September 2026. September alone contributed R$1.206bn, up 3.70% on August, in the last full month before the effects of the fixed-odds betting ban.
Brazil's Receita Federal collected R$11.116bn from the taxation of betting and gambling, including Caixa lotteries, between January and September 2026, according to the agency's revenue breakdown by economic division published on Thursday 22 October. The figure is 55.10% higher than the R$7.167bn recorded in the same period of 2025.
No ticket matched all six numbers in Mega-Sena contest 3.073 drawn on 22 October in São Paulo, so the estimated prize rolls to R$230m for the next draw on Sunday 25 October. The previous estimate was R$206.4m. If paid in full, it would be the second-largest regular Mega-Sena prize, behind R$317.8m shared in October 2022.
No ticket matched all six numbers in Mega-Sena contest 3.073, drawn on 22 October in São Paulo, so the estimated prize for the next draw rises to R$230m. The next draw is scheduled for Sunday 25 October, also in São Paulo.
Receita Federal secretary Robinson Barreirinhas said Brazil’s fixed-odds betting ban would redirect spending and increase tax receipts elsewhere in 2027, reported by BNLData. The outlet contrasted the government’s estimated R$5.8bn revenue loss with R$6.3bn collected from betting between January and August 2026.
Robinson Barreirinhas, secretary of Brazil's Receita Federal, said in an interview that he is not concerned about the revenue lost through the provisional measure that banned fixed-odds betting. According to Barreirinhas, money that would have gone to betting operators will instead be spent in retail, services and goods, which he said would raise tax receipts in other sectors. He said he had no doubt that receipts from other segments would rise in 2027.
Brazil’s Provisional Measure 1,394 prohibits fixed-odds betting operations and advertising, and requires sponsorship signs to be removed within 10 days, according to the report. It says operator authorisations are to end within 30 days, while other lottery products, including Loterias CAIXA, are exempt; CAIXA said it has advertised on CazéTV since 2024.
Caixa Econômica Federal organised a three-day delegation to Montevideo from 24 to 26 September to examine Uruguay’s betting model, according to the report. The visit took place as Brazil’s provisional measure banning betting platforms and online casinos was published; the delegation included three senior Caixa representatives.