Survey finds 75% of Americans view prediction markets as gambling
The reported public view and opposition to several types of betting inform the debate over prediction market oversight.
All news
Reports
Ganime predicts Brazil betting ban will expire in Congress
Ganime’s assessment points to concerns over how the prohibition affects operators’ existing contracts with football clubs and broadcasters.
Macquarie forecasts $187bn prediction market taker volume for 2026
Macquarie’s reduced prediction market volume forecast still implies growth of 8.5 times last year’s volume.
Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 60% of voters oppose election betting
Prediction market operators face voter opposition to election betting across both Democratic and Republican voters.
Las Vegas Sands rules out prediction markets as it prioritises international growth
Las Vegas Sands will prioritise its core business and international growth, including Macau, while ruling out prediction markets.
European Lotteries calls for country-by-country prediction-market regulation
The proposed approach could shape how gambling rules and safeguards apply to prediction-market products across European jurisdictions.
Benzinga poll finds 17% expect prediction markets to displace DraftKings and Flutter
The poll gives investors divided expectations for DraftKings and Flutter, including adaptation, displacement and consolidation with prediction markets.
Kalshi expands tribal partnerships as gaming-law disputes continue
The partnerships create commercial opportunities for tribal operators while legal disputes over sports event contracts remain unresolved.
Prediction markets could cost gaming sector up to $39.4bn annually, report says
Gaming operators can factor the report’s projected annual revenue losses into their assessment of prediction markets.
Las Vegas Sands reaffirms Macau commitment and rejects prediction market expansion
Sands remains committed to Macau despite slowing gaming revenue, while ruling out expansion into prediction markets.
Kalshi cases await Supreme Court review decision over sports event contracts
Operators could face separate state disputes over sports event contracts if Supreme Court review leaves conflicting appeals decisions unresolved.
AGA seeks US Supreme Court review over Kalshi sports contracts in New Jersey
The case could determine whether prediction markets must meet state gambling requirements when competing with licensed sportsbooks.
Acquisition
ARK Invest buys 126,594 Kalshi shares across three ETFs
ARK Invest’s purchase backs Kalshi’s US prediction market business through three actively managed ETFs.
Licence
NFA grants FanDuel FCM licence for US prediction market business
The licence could increase FanDuel’s control over its prediction market business without authorising it to operate its own designated exchange.
Acquisition
Bank of America upgrades DraftKings to Buy after 19% monthly decline
Bank of America’s upgrade highlights potentially bottoming earnings expectations and reduced prediction market cannibalisation risk for DraftKings investors.
NFL urges US Supreme Court to allow state regulation of prediction markets
The NFL’s request supports state regulation of prediction markets and challenges federal treatment of sports-linked contracts.
State attorneys general urge Supreme Court to hear Kalshi dispute in USA
Conflicting state rulings underpin calls for Supreme Court intervention in New Jersey’s prediction-market appeal involving Kalshi.
NFL asks Supreme Court to settle US sports prediction market jurisdiction
The dispute could determine whether sports prediction market operators must comply with state gambling laws or federal oversight.
IG Group CEO expects earlier clarity on prediction markets
IG Group says it is prepared for a potential adverse Supreme Court ruling on sports event contracts.
Slotegrator's Maksym Shtun identifies prediction markets opportunity among non-bettors
Shtun identifies people who avoid traditional betting as potential customers for prediction market products.
IG Group says proposed Underdog deal would lift US revenue share to 41%
The proposed acquisition could diversify IG Group’s revenue beyond its UK and CFD focus if completed.
Polymarket challenges KSA sanctions in Dutch court
The appeal concerns whether Polymarket’s prediction markets fall under Dutch gambling rules.
Tax court annuls €108,000 assessment linked to irregular gaming machines
The annulment highlights how inspection-based gaming-revenue estimates can be challenged in tax assessments.
Licence
Gouda mayor declines to offer new gaming arcade licence
Operators cannot currently apply for a licence to open a new gaming arcade in Gouda.
Goblin Traffic and N1 Bet report 693 first-time depositors from ASO campaign
The reported acquisition and conversion figures offer operators and suppliers data on a Prediction Markets marketing channel.