By SectorWire desk ·
Macquarie expects prediction market taker volume to reach $187bn in 2026. The estimate falls below its $190bn forecast last month but exceeds its earlier $169bn projection and implies growth of 8.5 times last year’s volume.
Macquarie’s reduced prediction market volume forecast still implies growth of 8.5 times last year’s volume.
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Kalshi’s sports contract share and DraftKings’ app download share give investors measures of prediction market competition.
The forecast and sports share indicate the scale of a growing market in which established US bookmakers are seeking a larger presence.
Macquarie forecasts growth for US online betting and iGaming operators ahead of Q3 results despite recent gambling share declines.
Macquarie’s increased forecast gives operators and investors a higher estimate of prediction market taker volume for 2026.
Beynon’s assessment gives investors a view of DraftKings’ prediction market growth alongside its core business performance.
The forecasts set out analysts’ expectations for prediction market transaction volumes.