QCX, acquired by Polymarket in July, posted self-certifications for moneyline, spread, total and election markets in the US. The documents now give 2 October as the earliest offer date, but Polymarket US has not announced a launch date.
The self-certifications indicate a possible expansion of federally regulated event-contract offerings into sports and election markets.
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Sports betting supporters accounted for almost half of the $25m that independent political committees spent on Georgia’s elections this year. Win for America, whose funders include DraftKings and FanDuel, provided funding to two political committees in the state.
Nevada’s First Judicial District Court granted the Nevada Gaming Control Board a 14-day temporary restraining order against Kalshi, requiring it to block sports, entertainment and election contracts in the state. The order runs until 3 April, when a further hearing is scheduled; Kalshi said it disagreed with the restrictions and would comply while contesting them.
Polymarket filed a self-certification with the CFTC seeking to offer combined sports-event contracts in the US, according to reports. The contracts would pay $1 if every included outcome is correct and zero otherwise; the proposed launch date is no earlier than 21 May 2026. Polymarket also sought confidential treatment for part of its submission.
Genius Sports chief executive Mark Locke said prediction-market activity could create opportunities for traditional betting suppliers even if regulation changes the sector. He said demand for sports wagering would persist, while the article reports that Kalshi’s retail demand was concentrated in states without online sportsbooks, citing July figures from Eilers & Krejcik.
DraftKings lowered its 2026 adjusted EBITDA forecast to $175 million-$275 million, from $700 million-$900 million, citing planned investment in its Predictions business, additional iGaming spending and customer-friendly sports results. The company also cut its revenue outlook to $6.35 billion-$6.55 billion and reported a third-quarter net loss of $468.7 million, compared with $256.8 million a year earlier.