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Missouri forecast puts first-month sports betting handle at up to $370m

Regulation

An analysis forecast that Missouri could record $220m to $370m in sports betting wagers during its first month after the market opens on 1 December 2025. It estimated operator revenue of about $22m to $41m, based on comparisons with launches in other states. The forecast identified Maryland as a baseline and North Carolina as a higher benchmark.

The forecast helps operators and investors assess potential opening-month wagering and revenue in Missouri.

End-of-day close DraftKings (DKNG), USD, to 8 December 2025
Story date9 September 20258 December 2025

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Two prediction-market operators sue Missouri over sports event contract rules

North American Derivatives Exchange, which operates Crypto.com's OG prediction market, and Ludlow Exchange, Novig's operator, filed separate lawsuits on 16 October challenging Missouri's 21-year age minimum and 10% tax on sports event contracts. Both argue that federal commodities law gives the CFTC authority over their contracts, pre-empting state gambling rules, after a 30-day compliance period following cease-and-desist notices expired. Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway's office maintains that labelling a sports bet an event contract does not remove it from state law.

North American Derivatives Exchange, which operates Crypto.com's OG prediction-market platform, and Ludlow Exchange, the operator behind Novig, filed separate lawsuits on 16 October challenging Missouri's sports event contract rules. The filings followed the expiry of a 30-day compliance period set out in cease-and-desist notices. Both companies argue that federal commodities law gives the Commodity Futures Trading Commission authority over their contracts, putting them outside Missouri's gambling requirements.

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