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Gemini plans prediction contracts pending CFTC exchange approval

Licences & markets

Gemini plans to offer prediction contracts through a derivatives exchange application under review by the CFTC, reportedly. The company had said in securities filings that it intended to cover politics, sports, economic data and financial markets; the report said the application remained undecided months after filing.

The proposed contracts depend on CFTC approval and could bring Gemini into competition with established event-contract platforms.

Earlier licence decisions by Commodity Futures Trading Commission and CFTC

DateCompanyAmountStoryAppeal status
Gemini Space StationNot statedGemini reportedly considers prediction markets as CFTC application remains pendingNot stated
Polymarket, QCXNot statedPolymarket plans US return by late November with sports focusNot stated
Railbird Exchange, QC ClearingNot statedCFTC approves Railbird Exchange as a designated contract marketNot stated

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CFTC registers Sporttrade exchange and clearing operation for event contracts

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission designated Sporttrade DCM LLC as a designated contract market on 30 October 2026 and registered Sporttrade DCO LLC as a derivatives clearing organisation on 16 October 2026. Sporttrade said the registrations enable its exchange and clearing operations, while its phased rollout has no announced launch date.

Sporttrade obtained US Commodity Futures Trading Commission registrations covering both its exchange and its clearing business. On October 30, 2026, the CFTC named Sporttrade DCM LLC a Designated Contract Market. Sporttrade DCO LLC became a Derivatives Clearing Organization on October 16, 2026.

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