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CFTC signals prediction markets guidance and rulemaking

Regulation

CFTC chair Michael Selig said the agency plans to publish guidance on prediction markets in the near future. He said the CFTC is preparing an advance notice of proposed rulemaking to establish a broader process, and has filed an amicus brief in a federal case in Nevada to assert its authority over event contracts.

Operators and regulators may gain clarity on prediction-market rules as the CFTC develops guidance and asserts authority over event contracts.

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Regulation

NFL signals continued scrutiny of prediction markets ahead of Super Bowl LX

NFL executive vice-president Jeff Miller said the league is monitoring prediction-market platforms, while raising concerns about game integrity and safeguards. He said the NFL expects to discuss the sector in the coming months and years, but is not rushing to engage with it. The report cites AGA projections of $1.76bn in legal Super Bowl wagering and says Kalshi reported more than $161m in trading on its Super Bowl winner contract.

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