Citizens finds prediction-market combo users lose 18% on average
The findings offer operators and investors data on participant returns and the share of Kalshi activity from combo trades.
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Citizens report finds prediction market combos return minus 18%
Operators can compare reported returns and product volumes as prediction market combo betting expands.
Citizens analyst reports prediction market users had -8% median ROI
The reported loss and displacement estimates inform operators’ assessment of prediction markets and potential competition for customers.