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US poll finds opposition to prediction-market bets on elections and government actions

Regulation

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that most US adults oppose prediction-market bets on elections and government decisions. The online survey of 4,506 adults, conducted from 30 September to 5 October, found 63% opposed bets on executive announcements and decisions; 69% of Democratic voters and 61% of Republican voters opposed election bets.

The findings add evidence to the US debate over whether prediction markets should follow state gambling rules or federal oversight.

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Deals & M&A

CNBC reports increased prediction-market interest as football and US elections approach

CNBC’s Morning Squawk newsletter reported growing interest in Polymarket and Kalshi as football and the US election cycle gather pace. CNBC linked the attention to football’s return and the approaching November election, and also mentioned Robinhood.

According to CNBC's Morning Squawk newsletter, platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi are attracting more attention now that football season has begun and the U.S. election is approaching. The newsletter placed the topic in its Monday digest of stories that move markets, a list that also covered worries about AI regulation, climbing oil prices, inflation figures and the Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for that week.

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