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US courts and lawmakers face disputes over sports prediction markets

Regulation

Kalshi and other prediction-market platforms are expanding into sports contracts in the United States, bringing their claimed federal oversight into conflict with state sports-betting rules. Nevada, New Jersey and Maryland have moved to block Kalshi's sports markets, while Kalshi has filed lawsuits challenging those actions; the jurisdictional dispute remains unresolved.

The outcome could determine whether state gambling rules apply to sports event contracts offered by prediction-market platforms.

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Regulation

US appeals courts rule on Kalshi sports contracts as EU reviews prediction markets

Italy's ADM is the focus of a report comparing US court rulings with the European Commission's MiCA consultation. The report says the Sixth Circuit ruled on 25 September that Kalshi's sports contracts were not swaps and that Ohio and Tennessee could apply their gambling laws; the Commission consultation asks whether blockchain-based prediction markets should fall under MiFID or MiCA.

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