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US advocates warn gambling support lags prediction-market growth

Regulation

US public-health advocates warn that support for people experiencing gambling problems is not keeping pace with the spread of prediction markets and online betting. Kalshi and Polymarket say they fall under federal oversight rather than state gambling laws, while state authorities and lawmakers challenge that position in lawsuits. Timothy Fong said California spends about $9m a year on problem gambling through its Department of Health.

The dispute over prediction markets’ status and the reported support gap affect operators and state regulators.

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Regulation

US poll finds majority oppose election betting on prediction markets

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that most US adults oppose betting on election outcomes and government decisions, amid debate over prediction-market regulation. The survey found 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans opposed election betting; 65% opposed bets on military operations and 63% opposed bets on public-policy decisions.

Most US adults oppose using prediction markets to bet on election results and government decisions, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on 12 October. The survey was conducted between 30 September and 5 October and polled 4,506 US adults. It found 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans opposed to betting on election outcomes.

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