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Prediction-market disputes could reshape US operators’ legal exposure

Regulation

A Jefferies analyst said US prediction-market platforms have expanded under lighter federal oversight but face legal challenges in several states, according to the report. David Katz said cases in Nevada, Ohio, Massachusetts and California could affect whether event contracts are treated as financial products or gambling; he suggested the US Supreme Court could consider one or more cases as early as 2027.

Court outcomes could determine whether prediction-market operators must restrict products or meet state gambling rules.

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