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Murphy and Casar propose banning prediction markets on sensitive events

Regulation

US Senator Chris Murphy and Representative Greg Casar introduced the BETS OFF Act, proposing to prohibit markets tied to war, terrorism, assassination and government actions. The bill would also bar contracts on events controlled by one person or a small group, according to the report; Murphy and Casar said insider knowledge and influence could create risks.

The proposal could restrict contracts offered by prediction-market platforms and affect their compliance obligations.

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Regulation

Baumgartner proposes banning wildfire prediction-market contracts

US Representative Michael Baumgartner introduced legislation to bar federally regulated prediction markets from offering wildfire event contracts, reportedly amid concerns about incentives to start or worsen fires. Baumgartner said there was no evidence that a prediction-market trader had started a wildfire; the proposal follows a letter from nine Democratic senators urging the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to reject such contracts.

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