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LCA estimates illegal platforms hold 38%–44% of Brazil’s betting activity

Regulation

LCA Consultores estimated that unlicensed platforms accounted for 38% to 44% of Brazil’s online betting activity in the first half of 2026, down from 41% to 51% in its previous study. An Instituto Locomotiva survey of 2,291 bettors found continued use of unregulated sites, while IBJR said enforcement should continue without imposing new imbalances on licensed operators.

The estimate indicates continued unlicensed competition despite regulatory enforcement and helps frame policy risks for authorised operators.

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Regulation

Brazilian Congress debates illegal online betting market estimates

A Brazilian congressional commission debated estimates of annual losses from illegal online betting during a session on 24 March. Figures presented ranged from US$1.3bn to US$2bn, while SPA coordinator Leandro Lucchesi said the agency did not endorse the private-consultancy indicators cited. Industry associations estimated that illegal operators still account for about half of the market, contrasting with an estimate that up to 70% of betting is legal.

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