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KSA says unlicensed prediction markets are illegal in the Netherlands

Regulation

The Kansspelautoriteit says prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi fall under Dutch gambling law and are not permitted without a licence, the regulator said. The KSA told the report that it had addressed Polymarket over illegal gambling and that comparable sites could also face sanctions. Polymarket received an order subject to a penalty, while the report says Kalshi had not received a sanction.

The KSA’s position means unlicensed prediction-market operators may face enforcement even without an existing sanction.

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Regulation

Kalshi records $25.3bn in parlay trading during midterm period

Kalshi recorded more than $1.1 billion in election trading during the 10 days around the US midterms, while parlays generated $25.3 billion over the same period, according to analysis of prediction-market data. Election trading accounted for 3% of platform volume; volume measures contracts exchanged, not revenue retained by the platform.

Kalshi processed more than $1.1 billion on elections during the 10 days surrounding the midterms, only 3% of the platform's volume. Over the same period, Kalshi processed $25.3 billion in parlays and also $6.1 billion in non-parlay sports contracts.

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