Italian rules leave prediction markets between betting and finance
A report says prediction markets including Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt are difficult to classify under Italy’s betting and financial rules. Betting operators fall under ADM concessions, while brokers offering CFDs and derivatives are subject to MiFID rules and CONSOB oversight; the report says the new platforms combine features of trading, betting exchanges and crypto markets.
Unclear classification could affect how operators and financial firms are regulated and taxed in Italy.