IBJR director general André Gelfi warned that Brazil’s betting tax framework remains fragile amid proposals for higher levies. A Senate committee decision would phase the tax on Bets licences from 12% to 18% of GGR by 2028; Gelfi also criticised a proposed 15% CIDE-Bets contribution on each bet.
Potential tax increases could change operators’ costs and the competitive position of licensed betting businesses in Brazil.
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Brazil Supreme Court Justice Luiz Fux stayed all lower-court cases challenging Provisional Measure 1.394/2026 on 8 November, pending rulings on four constitutional challenges. The Prosecutor General’s Office requested the stay on 6 November; the court must still confirm Fux’s injunction, while industry associations ANJL and IBJR’s request has not been decided.
Brazil’s Supreme Court Justice Luiz Fux has halted lower-court cases against the country’s betting ban, according to the report. The decision, signed on 8 November, pauses challenges to Provisional Measure 1.394/2026 until the court decides four constitutional challenges to the ban. The Prosecutor General’s Office filed its request on 6 November.
An interview with Leadstar Media CEO Eskil Kvarnström argues that restrictions on betting in Brazil may redirect consumers to unlicensed operators rather than eliminate demand. The Bet Legal panel, maintained by Iron Security in partnership with ANJL, mapped 710 unauthorised betting sites two days after MP 1.394 was announced, up from 295; LegitBet had confirmed more than 34 thousand suspected sites by the end of October.
Brazilian betting restrictions risk driving customers towards unlicensed operators, Leadstar Media chief executive Eskil Kvarnström said in an interview.
ANJL, IBJR and Anseja asked Brazil’s Federal Supreme Court on 3 November to suspend Provisional Measure 1.394/2026 until Congress votes on it or the court rules on its merits. The associations said operators had each paid BRL30 million for five-year licences and warned that the measure could leave those fees unrecoverable; Anseja estimated potentially affected tax revenue at BRL12.7 billion or more.
Brazil's main betting sector associations have asked the Federal Supreme Court (STF) to suspend Provisional Measure 1.394/2026 until Congress rules on its content or the court decides the merits. The National Association of Games and Lotteries (ANJL), the Brazilian Institute for Responsible Gaming (IBJR) and Anseja presented their arguments to the court on 3 November, at a hearing where they questioned the legal certainty and economic consequences of the decision. The hearing ended without Justice Luiz Fux issuing a ruling or granting the requested interim suspension. No date was set to decide the merits, so the measure remains in force.
ABRAS monitoring recorded a 7.9% year-on-year increase in sales by value for 14–20 September, when authorised betting platforms were operating, the report said. The same measure showed 7.4% growth for 5–11 October, the week ABRAS cited in connection with the betting ban. ABRAS did not provide controls for other factors when questioned, according to the report.
Supermarket sales by value rose 7.9% year on year in the week of 14 to 20 September, according to ABRAS's own weekly NielsenIQ monitoring. In the week of 5 to 11 October, the week ABRAS used to credit the betting ban, the same measure showed 7.4% growth.
IBJR president Carlos Lima said Brazil’s betting market could change permanently after a provisional measure revoked licences held by legal operators. He said delays in a Supreme Federal Court ruling on the measure could increase economic harm, including layoffs; some companies have already reduced their Brazilian teams, he added.
Brazil's regulated betting market may not return to its previous state after Provisional Measure No. 1,394/2026 revoked the licences of licensed operators, according to Carlos Lima, president of the Brazilian Institute for Responsible Gaming (IBJR). Lima, speaking in an interview with Folha de S. Paulo, said the sector is still hoping that Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Luiz Fux will suspend the measure in the coming days.