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Coinbase reports prediction markets exceed $200m in annualised revenue

Deals & M&A1 min read

In brief

  • Coinbase said prediction markets surpassed $200m in annualised revenue in the September quarter.
  • Daily traders in the segment grew more than 60% quarter over quarter, the company said.
  • Coinbase reported 82% quarterly compound growth in prediction markets since launch.

Coinbase Global said its prediction-markets business surpassed $200m in annualised revenue in the September quarter, the company reported in its third-quarter earnings after US markets closed. The company said daily traders in the segment grew by more than 60% quarter over quarter.

Coinbase said prediction markets have seen 82% quarterly compound growth since launch and described the segment as one of the fastest-growing products by revenue in its history. The company offers event contracts through a partnership with a prediction market operator.

According to the company, users who trade predictions also generate additional spot volume. Coinbase is pursuing an Everything Exchange model intended to offer clients a range of financial services.

Coinbase chief financial officer Alesia Haas said prediction markets add a revenue stream that is less correlated to crypto volatility, according to the report. Dat Ngo, an accountant and financial expert at Vetted Prop firms, said using prediction markets to bring in traders and then move them into options, futures and retirement accounts is sensible from a business standpoint, the report said.

Annualised prediction-markets revenue September quarter
$200m
Quarter-over-quarter growth in daily traders September quarter
60%
Quarterly compound growth since launch
82%

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Regulation

Ohio regulator warns licensees over prediction market services

The Ohio Casino Control Commission has told sports betting and fantasy contest licensees and applicants that providing services to prediction market operators may affect their suitability. Interim executive director Andromeda Morrison said licensees must confirm compliance with the notice by 30 October. The commission issued cease-and-desist letters to 10 prediction market companies after a Sixth Circuit ruling allowed Ohio to enforce its gaming laws against Kalshi.

The Ohio Casino Control Commission has sent a notice to sports betting and fantasy contest licensees and applicants in the state warning that providing services to prediction market operators may affect their suitability. Andromeda Morrison, the commission's interim executive director, told the seven-member Commission on Wednesday that licensees and applicants must confirm compliance with the notice by 30 October. The notice was first reported by The Event Horizon newsletter.

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