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Citi forecasts Macau casino EBITDA falling 7% in Q2 2026

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Citi expects Macau’s casino industry EBITDA to decline 7% year on year to US$1.923bn in the second quarter of 2026, citing the World Cup and unfavourable hold rates. The bank also forecasts a 12% quarter-on-quarter fall and says Galaxy Entertainment could gain 1.7 percentage points of market share while Sands China loses 2.5 points.

The forecasts signal potential earnings and market-share changes for Macau casino operators.

End-of-day close Galaxy Entertainment Group (0027), HKD, to 24 August 2026
Story date26 May 202624 August 2026

Latest reported results

Galaxy Entertainment Group HKEX: 0027

Quarter ended 30 September 2026

Revenue
HKD 12.69bn

Sands China HKEX: 1928

Quarter ended 30 September 2026

Revenue
USD 1.93bn

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