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CFTC acting chair backs prediction markets amid US regulatory dispute

Regulation

Acting CFTC chair Caroline Pham said prediction markets align with market oversight principles and linked them to the wider development of tokenized finance. The CFTC has not issued a conclusive ruling on whether sports-outcome contracts fall under federal futures oversight or state gambling laws, while states have challenged platforms including Kalshi.

Operators and platforms face continuing uncertainty over whether states can apply gambling laws to federally regulated event contracts.

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Regulation

NFL backs New Jersey Supreme Court bid in Kalshi dispute

The NFL filed an amicus brief supporting New Jersey’s attempt to bring its dispute with Kalshi before the Supreme Court. The league argued that sports event contracts do not qualify as swaps.

New Jersey's effort to take its Kalshi dispute to the Supreme Court has the NFL's support, the league said in an amicus brief filed on Thursday. In that filing, the league contended that contracts tied to sporting events do not meet the definition of swaps and instead belong within state gambling regulation. The brief was published on 8 October 2026.

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