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Brazilian study records 441% rise in gambling-disorder incapacity benefits from 2023 to 2025

Regulation

A study by Brazil's Subsecretariat of Labour Statistics and Studies found that workers receiving INSS temporary incapacity benefits for gambling disorder rose from 67 in 2023 to 363 in 2025, an increase of about 441%. The report linked the trend to online betting regulation, while BNLData said the figures do not establish causation; the study's author also cautioned that the data cover a small group of beneficiaries.

The conflicting interpretations matter to regulators assessing gambling-related harm and the evidence used to shape policy.

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Regulation

Brazil’s STF weighs betting suspension as legal challenges raise uncertainty

Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) is considering the constitutionality of Provisional Measure 1,394/2026, which temporarily suspended the regulated fixed-odds betting market. At a 3 November hearing, Justice Luiz Fux raised questions about legal certainty, non-retroactivity and the measure’s constitutional basis; the source says the court may consider how a ruling affects companies already approved. A separate appellate ruling granted temporary relief to CDA Gaming, though the source text ends before detailing its effect.

Justice Luiz Fux of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) scheduled a hearing on November 3, and 36 associations attended to debate Provisional Measure (MP) 1,394/2026. Under that measure, Brazil's regulated fixed-odds betting market was put on temporary hold.

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