By SectorWire desk ·
The report said that Macquarie analysts forecast prediction market volume reaching $1.5trn by 2030. The report also projected Kalshi volume of $520bn within five years.
The forecasts set out analysts’ expectations for prediction market transaction volumes.
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Kalshi’s sports contract share and DraftKings’ app download share give investors measures of prediction market competition.
The dispute concerns whether states can apply gambling rules to sports-event contracts offered by federally regulated exchanges.
The findings bear on state challenges to Kalshi and Polymarket's position that their contracts fall exclusively under CFTC jurisdiction.
The analysis questions Kalshi’s explanation for concentrated activity in its ether perpetual contracts.
The new contracts allow partial settlement rather than requiring players to reach the full statistical target.
The dispute could affect whether prediction market operators face state gambling laws alongside federal oversight.