By SectorWire desk ·
Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon forecast prediction-market turnover of $1.5tn by 2030. The estimate stood 50% above projections from other analysts published a few months earlier.
The forecast increases the projected scale of prediction-market trading.
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The forecast and sports share indicate the scale of a growing market in which established US bookmakers are seeking a larger presence.
Beynon’s assessment gives investors a view of DraftKings’ prediction market growth alongside its core business performance.
Kalshi’s sports contract share and DraftKings’ app download share give investors measures of prediction market competition.
Macquarie’s reduced prediction market volume forecast still implies growth of 8.5 times last year’s volume.
Macquarie forecasts growth for US online betting and iGaming operators ahead of Q3 results despite recent gambling share declines.
Macquarie’s increased forecast gives operators and investors a higher estimate of prediction market taker volume for 2026.