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CFTC warns prediction markets against sportsbook-style event contract odds

Regulation

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission warned regulated entities that sportsbook-style American odds for event contracts may mislead users and could breach federal anti-manipulation rules. Its market oversight and market participants divisions said pricing should clearly reflect market-generated values, such as cents or implied probabilities, and that affiliates and intermediaries share the requirement. Exchanges, futures commission merchants and introducing brokers must acknowledge the letter by 31 August.

The guidance affects how prediction-market operators and intermediaries display sports-related event contract prices.

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