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CFTC says prediction-market contracts fall under derivatives rules

Regulation

The CFTC says event-based prediction-market contracts are swaps subject to federal derivatives oversight, including insider-trading rules. Enforcement director David Miller said the agency would pursue cases involving misappropriated information, not minor conduct, and plans to encourage company cooperation, including possible penalty reductions.

Prediction-market participants face federal insider-trading standards rather than state gambling rules, according to the CFTC’s position.

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Coinbase suspends Michigan sports contracts under appeal agreement

Coinbase Financial Markets agreed with the Michigan Gaming Control Board to stop offering new sports event contracts to Michigan customers and close open positions by 12:00 a.m. ET on 10 October 2026, the company reportedly said. Michigan will pause enforcement while Coinbase complies and pursues its appeal before the US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit; the agreement leaves the state’s authority to regulate these contracts unresolved.

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