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Analysts lower DraftKings’ 3Q25 EBITDA estimate to -$145 million

Business

J.P. Morgan analyst Dan Politzer lowered his DraftKings 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA estimate to -$145 million from $36 million, with revenue forecast at $1.13 billion. He attributed the revisions mainly to customer-friendly September NFL results and, secondarily, higher expenses tied to the Ghost Leg promotion; he also cut FY26/27 estimates by 3-4%.

The lower estimates indicate greater promotional-cost and sports-outcome pressure on DraftKings’ forecast earnings.

End-of-day close DraftKings (DKNG), USD, to 26 November 2025
Story date29 August 202526 November 2025

Latest reported results

DraftKings NASDAQ: DKNG

Quarter ended 30 September 2026

Revenue
USD 1.33bn10-Q filing 0001883685-26-000041
Operating income
−USD 493.1m10-Q filing 0001883685-26-000041

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